With all that said, the best fit scenario at this point looks to bring a band of 2-6" snows from eastern NE and far SE SD into the northwest ½ of IA, southwest 2/3rds of MN, the far NW sections of WI and into the western UP. The main issue causing the uncertainty is how well the two branches of the jetstream will be able to phase. More phasing will allow the moisture from the southern branch to combine with the cold and energy of the northern branch to produce heavier snows. So it is possible that accumulations could be even heavier if more phasing takes place.
Behind that storm cold air will flow in and it looks like the setup for LES will be pretty good across the UP and western lower MI as we go through the day on Wednesday and into early Thanksgiving before the atmosphere starts to stabilize on Thursday and shuts things down from west to east. It’s still pretty far out to be trying to nail down LES totals with that activity, but I’d say a general 2-5" across the LES belts of the UP and around 1-4" across the western sections of lower MI (as far south as the Indiana border) are a pretty safe estimate at this point.
The atmosphere does not look to be done making snow in the Midwest as a new low looks to dive in out of Canada and into the Dakotas by later Thursday or Friday and then move into the upper Midwest by Friday and Saturday. This system will be somewhat starved for moisture, but does look to have enough energy to produce a general 2-4" across the northern ½ of MN, WI, lower MI and all of the UP. Some fairly decent LES could also occur behind that system- beginning by Saturday and possibly continuing into the early part of the following week.
Temps across the Midwest next week will be running in the upper 20’s and low 30’s for highs in the Northwoods, with lows running in the teens and low 20’s.
I am also happy to report that the 11-15 day period still looks to keep the pattern in a very favorable setup for cold and snow across the Midwest. A trough is indicated to remain parked across the central US, which puts the Midwest in a very favorable spot for below average temps and above average precip. For the Northwoods and even some spots of the central Midwest that means snow!
Behind that storm cold air will flow in and it looks like the setup for LES will be pretty good across the UP and western lower MI as we go through the day on Wednesday and into early Thanksgiving before the atmosphere starts to stabilize on Thursday and shuts things down from west to east. It’s still pretty far out to be trying to nail down LES totals with that activity, but I’d say a general 2-5" across the LES belts of the UP and around 1-4" across the western sections of lower MI (as far south as the Indiana border) are a pretty safe estimate at this point.
The atmosphere does not look to be done making snow in the Midwest as a new low looks to dive in out of Canada and into the Dakotas by later Thursday or Friday and then move into the upper Midwest by Friday and Saturday. This system will be somewhat starved for moisture, but does look to have enough energy to produce a general 2-4" across the northern ½ of MN, WI, lower MI and all of the UP. Some fairly decent LES could also occur behind that system- beginning by Saturday and possibly continuing into the early part of the following week.
Temps across the Midwest next week will be running in the upper 20’s and low 30’s for highs in the Northwoods, with lows running in the teens and low 20’s.
I am also happy to report that the 11-15 day period still looks to keep the pattern in a very favorable setup for cold and snow across the Midwest. A trough is indicated to remain parked across the central US, which puts the Midwest in a very favorable spot for below average temps and above average precip. For the Northwoods and even some spots of the central Midwest that means snow!